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Alaska workers' comp rates drop nearly 5%

Favorable loss trends and lower accident frequency drive rates down

Workers Comp

By Insurance Business

Dec 02, 2025Share

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The Alaska Division of Insurance has approved a substantial reduction in workers’ compensation rates, driven by continued favorable national trends in claim frequency and loss severity.

The decision authorizes a 3.7% decrease in voluntary loss-cost rates and a 4.8% decrease in assigned risk rates, effective for the coming year.

The rate adjustments reflect projections from the National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI) that forecast continued moderation in key cost drivers: a 6% decline in annual historical indemnity trends and a 5% decrease for medical loss trends.

These figures align with recent history and take into account the offsetting factor of upward pressure on indemnity costs caused by growing wages.

Underlying these forecasts are NCCI projections of a 3% decline in both frequency and indemnity severity, and a 2% decline in medical severity.

​Expense shifts and industry warnings

​While voluntary rates fell, the filing did detail some shifts in expense provisions for the assigned risk pool: the loss adjustment expense increased from 21.5% to 22.5%, and the administrative expense increased slightly from 4.1% to 4.3%.

​Despite the positive rate environment, some industry players voiced caution.

During rate hearings, Alaska National Insurance Co. testified that a return of large-loss activity to long-term averages would exert pressure on the overall loss-cost level.

​Alaska National also warned that defense cost and containment expenses (DCCE) ratios have been elevated in recent years due to higher litigation costs.

Should these trends continue, NCCI may increase DCCE provisions in the future, which would further put pressure on loss-cost levels.

​The rate decrease in Alaska mirrors a broader national trend.

Favorable loss patterns - driven primarily by a three-decade-long decline in workplace accident frequency - have made workers' compensation a key profit driver for property/casualty insurers nationwide.

​According to AM Best analysis, the biggest factor has been the 70% decline in workplace accidents over the last 30 years. As long as this trend in continued improvements in workplace safety holds, the line is expected to see favorable financial results.

Based on direct premiums written during 2024, the five largest writers of workers' compensation insurance in Alaska, according to Best Wire, were:

  • ​CopperPoint Insurance Group: 30.35%
  • ​Western National Insurance Group: 11.61%
  • ​Liberty Mutual Insurance Cos.: 9.18%
  • ​Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group: 7.47%
  • ​Amerisafe Insurance Group: 4.77%