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Moody's identifies 10 emerging risks set to reshape global insurance market in 2026

Insurers are navigating a complex risk landscape

Insurance News

By Josh Recamara

Nov 25, 2025Share

Moody’s has highlighted 10 emerging risks expected to significantly impact insurers and businesses in 2026, accompanied by an interactive data visualisation that emphasizes the need for early preparation and risk mitigation.

Robert Muir-Woods, chief research officer at Moody’s, said insurers are on the front line in navigating a complex risk landscape, where both emerging and evolving threats are reshaping underwriting, claims management, and business continuity strategies. From environmental hazards to new exposures in high-value “paradise” locations, these risks demand careful attention from insurers and corporate risk managers alike.

Top concerns

Natural catastrophes remain a primary concern. Hurricanes, wildfires, and fast-moving floods are affecting wider geographic areas and lasting longer than in previous years, driving higher exposure levels and increasing recovery costs. Man-made catastrophe defenses are also under scrutiny. Earthquake-resilient infrastructure failures and questions over the efficacy of natural defenses, such as mangroves, reefs, and salt marshes, highlight gaps in mitigation planning and the potential for large-scale losses, Moody's said.

Systemic disruptions, including cyberattacks and global supply chain breakdowns, have already demonstrated their capacity to create cascading losses across industries. Recent outages at AWS and CrowdStrike illustrate the potential scale and interconnectedness of these risks, underscoring the importance of cyber and operational risk coverage.

Meanwhile, emerging liability exposures, including PFAS chemicals and microplastics, are increasingly entering insurers’ portfolios. These environmental and health hazards carry regulatory, litigation, and mitigation implications, particularly for manufacturers, property owners, and commercial insurers.

Infectious diseases also remain a concern. While the COVID-19 pandemic has receded, H5N1 bird flu poses potential pandemic threats as public vigilance and preparedness diminish. Insurers may need to consider pandemic-linked coverage and business interruption implications in their product design and underwriting practices, according to the report.

Getting ahead of the risks

For the insurance industry, these risks underscore the need for proactive risk assessment, scenario planning, and adaptation of underwriting models.

Pricing, coverage terms, and claims management strategies may require adjustment to account for intensifying natural hazards, operational vulnerabilities, and emerging liability exposures. Collaboration with clients to implement risk mitigation and resilience measures will be critical, the report said.

The Moody’s report signals that insurers who integrate emerging risk monitoring, robust scenario planning, and innovative risk transfer solutions are likely to be better positioned to manage losses, maintain profitability, and respond effectively to 2026’s evolving threat landscape.

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